The title of Dr. McIntosh’s talk was “Solar Cycle 25 Prediction and Why It Will Be Huge!” The prediction he made for the amplitude of Solar Cycle 25 was nothing short of amazing! News April 23, 2020 NOAA Updates Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Frank Donovan, W3LPL, notes that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) has published its official updated prediction of Solar Cycle 25 in new, interactive Solar Cycle Progression graphs. The Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel notes that just because it is a relatively calm solar cycle, doesn't mean we should not expect to see a few flare-ups of solar activity as the cycle heats up. Solar Cycle 25 is here. If the solar minimum prediction is correct, this would make Solar Cycle 24 the 7 th longest on record (11.4 years).” The Author(s) 2020 Abstract A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including early forecasts for Cycle 25. The data is provided by the Wilcox Solar Observatory at Stanford University. This week, scientists' predictions of sunspots were proven via photos from astronomers around the world. According to an international panel of experts, the sunspot number hit rock bottom in Dec. 2019, bringing an end to old Solar Cycle 24. This article deals with the prediction of the upcoming solar activity cycle, Solar Cycle 25. Now, in 2020, scientists have confirmed that the Sun has just entered a new cycle, named the Solar Cycle 25. The Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel is an international group of experts co-sponsored by NASA and NOAA. Figure 2| The 38 predictions of Solar Cycle 25 that had been registered by January 2020 (Adapted after Ref [4] with permission). Analysis determines we are in Solar Cycle 25 - The solar minimum between Solar Cycle 24 and 25 - the period when the sun is least active - happened in December 2019, when the 13-month smoothed sunspot number fell to 1.8, according to the Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel, co-chaired by NOAA and NASA.We are now in Solar Cycle 25 with peak sunspot activity expected in 2025, the panel said. Grand Solar Minimums are prolonged periods of reduced solar activity, and in the past have gone hand-in-hand with times of … ScienceDaily. Zharkova’s models have run at a 97% accuracy and now suggest a Super Grand Solar Minimum is on the cards beginning 2020. Figure 1: Heliospheric current sheet tilt angle 1976 -2020. The panel agreed that Cycle 25 will be average in intensity and similar to Cycle 24. None of these numbers are substantially different, so one could … New sunspot cycle could be one of the strongest on record, new research predicts: Scientists use an extended, 22-year solar cycle to make the forecast. There were no observations from about 19 December to 5 February; so the values in between have been interpolated from the rotations before and after. Specifically, December 2019 was the “solar minimum” or period of least solar activity in the 11-year solar cycle of the Sun. Electroverse reports… Their press releases surely won’t admit it, but NOAA’s PREDICTED SUNSPOT NUMBER AND RADIO FLUX data appears to show a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum running from the late-2020s to at least the 2040s. Since then, sunspot counts have been slowly increasing, heralding new Solar Cycle 25. 2 members in the Dare_Science community. They announced that solar minimum occurred in December 2019 which marks the start of a new solar cycle. Our prediction (128±10) is indicated by the yellow ‘sun’ in the center of the plot, near the average (123±21) of the 6 (now 7) precursor methods that seem to be preferred. The National Oceanic and Atmos-pheric Administration’s Solar Cycle Prediction Panel says there is no evidence for another period of very low activity, as in the Maunder Minimum of the late-17th and early-18th cen - The prediction panel expects that activity during this solar cycle will be well below average, with a peak of 115 in the sunspot number, give or take 10. About Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel and Key findings. May 2020: Max count: 81.8: Max count month: April 2014: Min count: 2.2: Spotless days: 489: Cycle chronology; Previous cycle: Solar cycle 23 (1996-2008) Next cycle: Solar cycle 25 (2019-present) NASA Solar Cycle 24 Sunspot Number Prediction. Experts on the Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel recently announced that the sun has officially entered a new cycle, its 25th since we've had enough data to reliably recognize them. Additionally, the panel concurred that solar minimum between Cycles 24 and 25 will occur in April, 2020 (+/- 6 months). (Figure 3) Solar activity (summary) curve restored for 1200 - 3300 AD. The Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel, an international group of experts co-sponsored by NASA and NOAA, announced that solar minimum occurred in December 2019, marking the start of a new solar cycle Dr. McIntosh recently co-authored a paper which has been submitted for publication in Solar Physics, A Journal for Solar and Solar-Stellar Research and the Study of Solar-Terrestrial Physics. Predictions for the next solar cycle – Cycle 25 – range from very low activity to stronger than Cycle 24. The sun is becoming active again as it enters Solar Cycle 25. Figure 2: Heliospheric current sheet tilt … Welcome to Dare Science where ANY scientific topic can be discussed. We predict that Cycle 25 will be another small cycle, with an amplitude slightly smaller than (~95-97%) the size of Cycle 24. Newer Solar Cycle 25 Forecast Runs Counter to Consensus. Scientists predict that new Solar Cycle 25 has begun. The panel agreed that Cycle 25 will be average in intensity and similar to Cycle 24. Based on this solar cycle 25 prediction, we expect that the coming minimum will last through the end of 2020 or into beginning of … In a paper, "Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 … On Tuesday (September 15, 2020), the Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel, an international group of experts, announced that a new solar cycle has begun. (2020, December 7). Predicting just how active the Sun will get at the peak of a cycle is a notoriously difficult task. NOAA (who’s solar forecasts generally come out higher than … The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory. The current solar cycle, Cycle 24, is declining and predicted to reach solar minimum - the period when the Sun is least active - late in 2019 or 2020. More information: Scott W. McIntosh et al, Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude, Solar Physics (2020). What is Solar Cycle 25, Sunspots, When Solar Cycle 25 start, What is the prediction, how it will affect our lives, features of Solar cycle, etc. NASA and NOAA made the announcement during a media teleconference earlier today. Scientists associated with the National Center for Atmospheric Research, the University of Maryland, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, and other institutions are offering a "bold prediction" on how Solar Cycle 25 will play out. 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